Wednesday, September 10, 2014

MAS jadi pasir...tidak bernilai...

THE PEOPLE RESPONSIBLE FOR MAS DOWNFALL

Another "forensic" damning analysis of the so called "untouchables"! You may or may not agree entirely or partly with the hard hitting criticisms of all those mentioned in this report since they are indeed "colourful" personalities. Well, some of us may also know some of them personally; or even have current if not past dealings with some of these people - so draw your own conclusions! Hopefully this won't spoil your coming weekend. And if you are financial analysts these accounts may shock you if you don't have background knowledge of the mess. No cheers



THE PEOPLE RESPONSIBLE FOR MAS DOWNFALL.
 Reasons Why Malaysia Airlines Bailout Will Not Work



Finally, Malaysia’s national carrier which was founded in 1946 (then known as Malayan Airways) and later commenced operation as Malaysia Airlines System in 1972, dies a natural death. Well, that’s a polite way to bid farewell to the 68-year-old airline. In reality, Malaysian Airlines System (KLSE: MAS, stock-code 3786) or popularly known as MAS was having serious financial cancer for too many years.
 
State fund Khazanah Nasional Berhad (KNB), which already owns 69.37% stake in MAS, is offering RM0.27 for each share in the company it does not own, amounting to almost RM1.4 billion (£260.8 million, US$438 million). With due respect, the missing MH370 and the downing of MH17 somehow “help”Najib administration solves one of the biggest headaches – closing down MAS for a major overhaul.

Malaysia Airlines Bailout - Leakages, Mismanagement, Racism, Incompetency, Cronyism, Corruption
Actually it isn’t an overhaul but rather a bailout. Of course, overhaul sounds so much nicer compares to bailout. But is there anyone out there who actually believes this is an overhaul? KNB is taking MAS private and will likely inject more funds into it, either directly or indirectly. KNB itself is the investment arm of the government, which in turn gets money from taxpayers’. It’s one big supply chain of sucking public money to rescue UMNO’s companies.
 
This may sound absurd, but the fact is MAS does not belong to the public. It belongs to UMNO disguised under nominees. Telekom Malaysia, Tenaga Nasional, Axiata (formerly Celcom), CIMB, PLUS, UEM Land and MAS are just some of the 50 companies worth more than US$30 billion (£18 billion, RM96 billion) under KNB’s management. KNB is just like a fund manager acting on behalf of UMNO.

Malaysia Airlines Bailout - Daim Zainuddin and Mahathir Mohamad Inspired by Anti-Jew Policy
The fact is this is not the first time MAS needs a bailout. Everything started the moment former prime minister Mahathir Mohamad and former finance minister Daim Zainuddin inspired by Germany’s past anti-Jew policy. In order to jumpstart ethnic Malays who were extremely slow in controlling the country’s economy, both Mahathir and Daim started their evil idea of cronyism in a huge scale in the 1990s; again, disguised under the infamous racist New Economic Policy (NEP).

Malaysia Airlines Bailout - Daim Zainuddin and his Protege Cronies
What Daim did next was pretty amazing – select a group of cronies as his protégés, and divide the country’s conglomerates among them, as if they were toys. People such as Wan Azmi, Amin Shah, Mohd Razali, Halim Saad, Tajudin Ramli, Rashid Hussain were some of the supposedly “successful Malay ethnic” groomed under NEP. Tajudin Ramli was entrusted with telecommunication company Celcom (now Axiata) via his 24.3% stake in now-defunct TRI (Technology Resources Industries).


Malaysia Airlines Bailout - Tajudin Ramli Exposure
In 1994, through Tajudin’s 47% in Naluri, he was “instructed” by Mahathir and Daim to purchase MAS in the name of “National Service” to help the Central Bank (Bank Negara Malaysia) solves Mahathir’s gambling losses – currency speculation. If you still remember, 1993 was the “Super Bull” year in Malaysia’s stock market. The economy was bullish so everyone made money. MAS made money too, of course.
 
MAS had been making handsome profits from 1990 to 1996 (we don’t have financial data prior to 1990), until the Asia Financial Crisis hit in 1997-1998. Looking at the chart (below) prepared by FinanceTwitter, you can see how MAS was in the red for five consecutive years since 1997. In other words,MAS never actually recovered after the 1997-1998 Asia Crisis, for a very long time. And that speaks volume about MAS’s mismanagement, leakages, corruptions and whatnot.


Malaysia Airlines Profitable Years - 1990-2014Q1
Together with Renong, Perwaja, RHB Bank, MAS and tons other companies related to Mahathir and Daim’s cronies, billions of dollars of taxpayers’ money were used for bailout as if there was no tomorrow. It was an open secret that Mahathir had his hand in getting Petronas to bailout his son Mirzan Mahathir’s shipping company, then Konsortium Perkapalan, which had trouble servicing US$490 million debt.


Malaysia Airlines Bailout - Mahathir Asked Petronas To Bailout Son Debt
MAS returned to green for the financial years 2002 to 2004. But the celebration was short-lived as the national carrier reported a stunning loss of a mind-boggling RM1.25 billion in 2005, thanks primarily to skyrocket fuel prices. Idris Jala was pinched from Shell to turnaround the company in the same year. Beside fixing fuel prices and terminating domestic routes from 114 to 23, Idris also cancelled all unprofitable international routes.

Malaysia Airlines - 1990-1997 - Revenue vs Net ProfitMalaysia Airlines - 1997-2014Q1 - Revenue vs Net Profit
As a result, MAS once again returned to profits from 2006 to 2010. But it seemed the turnaround plan by Idris was unsustainable, as the company once again registered losses in 2011 and beyond – this time by bigger loss margin of a whopping RM2.52 billion for financial year 2011 alone. Sadly, the carrier has since been in red until this year’s missing MH370 and downing of MH17.
 
While Idris Jala had terminated domestic routes, obviously due to budget carrier AirAsia’s cannibalizing, the open problem of excessive staffs was never tackled. In spite of lesser flights, both domestic and international, MAS’s staffs remain roughly the same. MAS Employees Union which represents half of the 20,000 employs was so strong that not even prime minister Najib himself dares to touch.

Malaysia Airlines Bailout -   Idris Jala
But was MAS really overstaffed and require a serious downsizing?Coincidently, MAS had bloated its staffs number to about 20,000 in 1992 (from about 16,000 in 1990), the year Mahathir and Daim hatched the idea of jumpstarting Malay entrepreneurs (read: cronies). Interestingly, the union pointed out that the problem was with the airline’s chief executive, Ahmad Jauhari Yahya, who has little experience running an airline.

Malaysia Airlines Bailout - Ahmad Jauhari Incompetence
Of course, the union can always display the statistic (refer to chart below) that the “Revenue Per Employee” has been on the uptrend ever since – from RM182 million (1990) to the present RM772 million (2013). So, to point finger at internal staffs alone is unfair. It’s hard to retrench staffs using any excuses when corruptions are still alive and kicking, ever since Tajudin Ramli started looting the company to the tune of tens of millions back in early 1990s.
Malaysia Airlines - 1990-2014Q1 - Revenue Per Employee vs Employee Strength
Almost everybody in MAS know the tale about Tajudin conspired with three other MAS officers and directors through two nominee companies, one in Singapore and the other in Hong Kong, to establish a company called Advanced Cargo Logistics GmbH Germany, at Hahn Airport in Frankfurt, Germany, to provide ground-handling services for MAS. And guess who were the directors of this company? They were Tajudin’s own brother (Bistamam Ramli) and sister-in-law (Rizana Mohd Daud).
 
Heck, during Tajudin’s rule between 1994-2001, MAS had accumulated losses in excess of RM8 billion (US$2.5 billion, £1.5 billion). Till today, Tajudin is still a free man, not to mention untouchable. Then came Munir Majid as MAS chairman who ruled from 2004-2011. Munir was less disastrous though (*grin*). He just helped himself to RM1.56 million paintings for his office, but not before renovating his office for a peanut RM841,000 (*tongue-in-cheek*).

Malaysia Airlines - 1990-2014Q1 - Revenue vs EPS
Not only Munir paid crazy price for little known Colombian artist’s artwork, he also paid RM60 million to about 20 foreign consultants to do, well, basically nothing at MAS. And these senior executives also enjoyed special perk such as car scheme where their choice of cars were subsidized by MAS for up to 70%. So much for grooming Malay entrepreneurs
 
During Munir’s 7-years in office, MAS was bloated with tons of senior executives. At one time, there were a staggering 55 Assistant General Managers (RM13,000 per month), General Managers (RM16,000 per month) and Senior General Managers (RM20,000 per month) in the company. The most expensive of them was Chris Andrew. He was paid a mind-boggling RM7,250 per day.

Malaysia Airlines Bailout - Munir Majid
Wait a minute, wasn’t Munir’s entry into MAS coincides with the company’s 2005 jaw-dropping losses of RM1.25 billion? Sure it was, and where is Munir Majid now? He’s the chairman of Bank Muamalat Malaysia and had recently appointed chairman of CIMB Asean Research Institute. What – another untouchable? You bet. So, it’s true that MAS is overstaffed but the chopping board should starts at top executives or management.
 
Here’s the real problem – almost all the top management staffs are“protected” species, one way or another, due to their relationships and political connections. Often, family members, friends, relatives, hamsters who are related to UMNO and couldn’t find 5-digit jobs or directorships in the market would end up at MAS. And to retrench them now would require a super “golden handshake”, which in turns will involve more taxpayers’ money, yet again.

Malaysia Airlines 2013 Expenditure
And don’t get us start talking about Brahim’s Airline Catering’s 25-year exclusive catering contract at RM6.5 billion (US$2 billion, £1.2 billion), the same company owned by former prime minister Abdullah Badawi’s brother, Ibrahim Badawi, which charges MAS a whopping RM60 for nasi lemak. MAS is not a business entity anymore, Mahathir and Daim had successfully turn it into a farm with incompetence people helping themselves to the gravy train.

Malaysia Airlines Bailout - Brahim's Boss Ibrahim Badawi
Hence, for the very simple fact that MAS is already entrenched with cronyism, racism, incompetence, corruption, mismanagement and whatnot but never meritocracy, the national carrier will never recover to its previous glory, no matter how many times you overhaul or reboot it. Change the name if you like, perhaps from Malaysia Airlines to Airlines Malaysia, but as long as those thousands of parasites are entrusted again in running the show, the same bailout will keep screaming again.

Malaysia Airlines Bailout - Brahim's Airline Catering owned by Abdullah Badawi's Brother
If you can’t separate patriotism and national pride with Malaysia Airlines identity, it would be much faster and long lasting to beg Tony Fernandes to change AirAsia to AirMalaysia (*grin*). Scream till foam at mouth but Malaysia Airlines’ fate was already sealed 20-years ago in 1994, the moment Mahathir and Daim started their evil plan enriching their cronies. It’s the internal cancers and not Ebola virus that is killing MAS. What a marvellous grand plan enforcing NEP, was it not?

malay asunder syndrome

And finally, to appease the union, the 6000 or more redundant of deadwood staff will be absorbed by Government, in their canteens, and asked to sell the 'naked' nasi lemak supplied by the ex PM crony caterer?
 
---------- Forwarded message ----------
CKEe, being a math genius, what is 6+11.7 equal to???

http://syedsoutsidethebox.blogspot.com/2014/08/the-7th-mas-bailout-in-13-years.html?m=1

OutSyed The Box  Sunday, August 31, 2014

The 7th MAS Bailout in 13 Years

Khazanah has worked out a "12 Point Plan" to bailout MAS. Someone said this "12 points", "Newco" etc are typical Mckinsey talk. The con-sultans are making money again.  Khazanah does not have the smarts to sort out this type of mismanagement.  Their mismanagement created this mess in the first place

(By the way dont ask how Medini is doing. The Chinese developers - from China - are giving away FREE RM1.0 million apartments in south Johor fo every purchase of an apartment in Shanghai !! Thats how bad the property situation is in Johor.)

I was reading BK Sidhu’s story about MAS in The Star yesterday (Sat 30/8/14).  BK is a wonderful writer. She can make things look so good and then suddenly she gives a duku. 
 
First lets start with a joke. The PM says injecting RM6.0 billion into a Newco to save our national airline operations (aka MAS) from going under is NOT a bailout.  The PM says its an investment.   And the PM feels that he has outsmarted everyone. 
 
The real joke is when the PM says that every Ringgit from the RM6.0 billion "investment" in Newco will be recovered. This is where BK delivers a duku – “Since taking over MAS in 2001…Khazanah has injected more than RM7.0 billion into MAS, which Azman (Mokhtar) does not think would be recoverable.”
 
If the super dunggus could not recover RM7.0 billion in 13 years, how on earth are the same super dunggus going to recover RM6bil in what THREE years?  Or is it 20 years now? 
 
And folks, this bailout is NOT RM6.0bil ok. MAS has debts totalling RM11.7bil. Who is going to tanggung those RM11.7bil debts?  The short answer is YOU,  Mr and Mrs Rakyat Malaysia Suckers. For example read this : 'the plan calls for conversion of some debt into equity. Kumpulan Wang Persaraan (KWAP) agreed to swap its existing RM750mil sukuk with ordinary equity.'  

There you are folks – already a RM750mil hutang has been absorbed by you and you, Mr & Mrs Rakyat Malaysia, just like that. So now the bailout will be RM6.0bil + RM750mil = RM6.75bil.

Ok a few more questions. MAS does not even own their building anymore. They do not own any airplanes. All their airplanes are owned by Penerbangan Malaysia Bhd (from that WAU bailout). 
So how in Allah's name did they stack up RM11.7bil in debt? Hutang apa ini RM11.7bil?
 
I believe there will be more ‘absorption’ of this RM11.7 billion debt. Why? Because if you transfer all this RM11.7bil debt to that Newco which they are planning, it will kill Newco even before a single flight takes off.
 
People in the know say that MAS’ local bankers (err CIMB and Maybank??) will also write off some of their portion of that  RM11.7bil debt.  Bankers call it a ‘haircut’. Since CIMB and Maybank are GLCs, it actually means you and you again - Mr & Mrs Rakyat Malaysia Suckers.  The Chairman of CIMB is the PM's brother. Do you think he is going to do anything to embarrass his brother the PM? Not likely. If you feel embarrassed so what? Who cares?

The question is how much more of MAS RM11.7bil debt will be 'turned into equity', 'haircutted' by the GLC banks etc?  
Khazanah is not divulging this part of the story.
 
And here is another nightmare.  Folks say that the new MAS Act will also authorise the Minister of Finance Inc to issue gomen bonds to raise funds to retire some of that RM11.7bil MAS debt.  To be repaid  from tax collections. Thats you and you again Mr and Mrs Rakyat Malaysia. 

So the total bailout is NOT RM6.0bil. It is going to be much, much more than RM6.0bil.  Err...PM's Advisors....ente semua boleh faham ke semua isu ni? Ini belum lagi high finance tau. Ini baru arithmetic Darjah Lima.
 
This 7th bailout of MAS will wipe out ALL the projected GST collections of RM5bil - RM6bil ??  So Mr and Mrs Rakyat Malaysia, you will be paying GST taxes to pay for the super dunggus incompetence at Khazanah Nasional.

Which is why I feel MAS will end up selling their family silver namely MAS Kargo, MAS Engineering, the CEO's car and so on. They have to sell assets to reduce debt. And if the assets are sold to cronies or to Khazanah itself, they will engage in the "
Buy High Sell Low" business model.  Just wait and see. (Like that food catering contract lah).

Of the RM6bil bailout, they say a sum of RM1.4bil is for the "privatisation of MAS". Come again? What exactly are you paying for with that RM1.4bil?
 
Another RM1.6bil will be used to ‘shut down’ the existing company. Come again? Why are you paying RM1.6bil to shut down a loss making company? Why does it cost RM1.6bil to shut down a company?
 
They say some of that money will be used for VSS to layoff some 6000 employees. Ok fine. But here is a tiny ‘by the way’ fact. Some of the RM1.6bil will be used “to pay penalties for early termination of contracts with suppliers.
 
We need to know who are these suppliers and how much they are being compensated? Most importantly we want to know if the former PM’s brother’s company (that food caterer) will get any of these penalty payments. If so, how much? Don’t be shy.
 
I have found new friends in Parliament who I can pujuk to ask these questions when the next Parliament session begins.   Sawadeekap.
 
By the way, I want to register a duku here. Say there is a very senior management executive in MAS whose sister is also a major spare parts supplier for MAS aircraft engines. Doesn’t that raise conflict of interest issues?  It may even raise corruption issues.  Well thank  Allah this is just a fluke. I just made up the story.   Its not true at all. Just like Mary Jane is not a girl or even Chinese.
 
But the food catering company that has an almost monopoly supply of inflight meals to MAS was  owned (now partly) by the brother of the present  Advisor to MAS (the ex PM). Doesn’t that raise conflict of interest issues? Yo super dunggu, what do you think?  And that is how we lost the entire airline. They flew it into the ground.
 
Now they say the CEO Ahmad Jauhari will leave by end June 2015. That is nine months away. Shouldn’t he leave now? So that you can appoint a new CEO soonest. If changing the CEO is a good thing, then why keep the 'old' CEO for another nine months? For your information, nine months is three full quarters.….  to do nonsense lah!
So this means there will be no new CEO for three full quarters? If Ahmad Jauhari is not going to be involved in the restructuring, then why pay him CEO salary for nine more months? And please dont say that he will be involved in the restructuring. Because if he is helping in the restructuring, then why change the CEO? But if the 'old' CEO is roped in to plan the restructuring, wont that be committing suicde again? Just thinking aloud. What do you think?
Here is a silly question – does this mean that all the super dunggus in Khazanah will still achieve all their KPIs? Which they have been achieving non stop for the past 11 years?
 
(Err..it will be September soon. How many TNB shares is Khazanah planning to sell this year? You know to make the books look good.  Or other “blue chip” counters that dictator Tun  Dr Mahathir gave you – all those years ago).
 
Why fire just the CEO? Fire the entire line up of the super dunggus at Khazanah. The music has stopped and the super dunggus have no chairs to sit on. The musical chairs game is over.
 
Unless they find another GLC fellow, maybe a toll highway manager, to become the CEO of MAS. Or maybe a toll collector.  Talk is Jamaludin the former Maxis guy will be roped in to become the new CEO of Newco.   If that is the case then why employ McKinsey or any other con-sultan to do a global search for a new CEO? Buang duit saja.

The consultans are getting rich from this thing again. You and you Mr and Mrs Rakyat Malaysia are being suckered again.
By the way what will they name Newco? Let me guess  Malaysian..jeng..jeng..jeng..Airlines !!

Folks, so what should be done with MAS? Simple - first change the entire management team at Khazanah. People have been saying this for ages. Khazanah has been mismanaging MAS for 11 years now. 
This is the seventh bailout of MAS.  With such a poor track record, do you honestly think Khazanah will manage MAS to success over the next 11 years? I dont think so.

In the past 10 years, Khazanah has appointed FIVE CEOs for MAS. Now they are firing the CEO again. A CEO lasts an average of two years ?? What type of management is that? It is as if some people are intentionally sabotaging MAS from succeeding.

Here is some business management I learnt when I was in Standard Five : Dont appoint an Advisor whose brother is also a main supplier to the company. That is bad business. Other people who are not as kind as me will call it 'conflict of interest'.

Dont allow your stationery suppliers and napkin suppliers to dictate company policy. You know when you change your logo, change the livery of the A380 or change the address of the HQ (from Subang to KLIA) then you must spend money on new stationery, new business cards, new napkins etc. All this costs money.
Dont hire the same con-sultans who have been giving you bad advice all these years.
Dont buy spares that you dont need (like spare Black Boxes or spare T-72 axles, thats from another story but you get the meaning).
Find out the best practises in buying fuel in the industry and try to do the same lah.
Bring back those fantastic muffins which MAS used to serve on its flights. Dont buy muffins that are made in a house belonging to family members of a company director.
Chop off those cheap fares for retired Civil Servants. And no upgrades either.  (Can or cannot?)
Expand the engineering business. Other than Boeing and Airbus, prepare now for the Chinese airplanes. Yup they are coming.
Rationalising routes is ok but my suggestion is expand, expand, expand to new and profitable routes. Tora, Tora, Tora. Be aggressive. Identify new routes with potential and start working now to enter those routes. Negotiate with foreign governments, negotiate with other airlines, use our diplomatic leverage (kalau ada). Work out clear delivery dates to enter new routes. If there is profit flying to the North Pole, just do it. Nike !! If there is no profit, then drop it.

It does not matter much if flights are below eight hours or longer than eight hours. As long as there are loads and routes are profitable, just do it. All this requires work. That is a four letter word.
This is still a viable business. MAS has a 67 year track record. Few can match the national airline.  MAS certainly deserves better management. Unfortunately Khazanah is just not the right fit.

Syed Akbar Ali at 10:00:00 PM